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Title:
Human Factors in Familiar Airspace - Expectation Bias and Assumption Traps
Topic:
Improving Pilot Judgment Through Cognitive Awareness and Early Interruption Triggers
Date and Time:
Thursday, July 9, 2026, starting at 19:00 Eastern Daylight Time Download Calendar File
Speaker(s):
Robert Breaux, Ph.D., CFII
Brief Description:

Part 91 pilots in Central Florida often make their most serious errors in airspace they know best. Familiar routes and predictable patterns create expectation bias and assumption driven decisions that replace verification with confidence. This seminar examines how routine operations degrade vigilance, how early mismatch cues can be detected, and how predefined interruption triggers preserve time and options. Using ASRS examples and Orlando area context, we will explore how high density mixed use airspace amplifies these traps and how a structured cognitive model, Expect Less → Observe More → Interrupt Early, helps pilots maintain judgment under ambiguity. The goal is sharper decision timing, not more information.

Please visit the Orlando Executive Airport FAASTeam Library web site:

 https://www.fsr-inc.org/FAAST/Seminar/Notice.aspx

 

Select Number:
SO15142948
Location of Seminar:
Orlando Executive Airport (ORL)
365 Rickenbacker Dr.

Orlando, FL 32802
Directions to Venue:

From Colonial Drive turn south on Rickenbacker Dr. Continue through the Fairgreen St intersection to the end of Rickenbacker Dr. and into the parking lot. Park in any available designated spot. Walk east to the Airport Administration Building.

Orlando Executive Airport (ORL)
365 Rickenbacker Dr.
Orlando, FL 32802


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Fly-in Seminar?:
Yes  KORL
Seating:
95 seats at the facility, 80 remaining for online registration.
Registration Information:
Sponsoring Division:
Orlando FSDO FAASTeam
Contact Information:
Robert Breaux
Phone: 407-644-4298
FAASTeam@CenturyLink.net
Additional Event Information & Acknowledgement of Industry Sponsor(s):

For additional and background information, please visit the Orlando Executive Airport FAASTeam Library web site: https://www.fsr-inc.org/FAAST/Seminar/Notice.aspx

Background
Most human factors training addresses fatigue, stress, and workload in general terms. Accident and ASRS data show a different pattern in Central Florida: pilots make assumption based errors precisely because the airspace feels familiar. Predictability and routine down regulate vigilance, creating a silent risk amplifier. This seminar isolates those environment specific traps and applies a cognitive model that teaches pilots to expect less, observe more, and interrupt early when cues don’t fit.
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Relevant ACS Elements
Private Pilot ACS 

PA.I.D-Aeronautical Decision Making (ADM) and Risk Management
PA.II-Preflight Planning and Personal?Minimums
PA.VIII-Emergency Operations
Commercial Pilot ACS 
CA.I.D-
ADM and Professionalism
CA.II-Preflight Planning and Risk Assessment
CA.VIII-Emergency Operations
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Teaching Points

  • Familiar airspace cognitive traps and expectation bias
  • Assumption driven errors replacing verification
  • Early mismatch detection and interruption triggers
  • Orlando/F11 operational factors that amplify risk
  • ASRS examples illustrating early expectation lock in and successful interruption

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Key Takeaways

  • Familiar airspace increases, not decreases, risk
  • Expectation forms earlier than pilots recognize
  • Mismatch cues are detectable if you know what to look for
  • Early interruption preserves time and options
  • Structured cognitive model improves judgment under ambiguity

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FAA References

  • FAA Human Factors Guide for Aviation
  • Pilot’s Handbook of Aeronautical Knowledge (FAA H 8083 25C), Ch. 2
  • AC?60 22 (Aeronautical Decision Making)
  • AC?61 98D (Proficiency and WINGS)
  • NASA ASRS Database (https://asrs.arc.nasa.gov)

•    FAA Human Factors Videos (FAA YouTube channel)

Thanks to Lindsey Merced at the Greater Orlando Aviation Authority (GOAA) for use of their Administrative Offices, to Senior FAASTeam Rep David Conrad for registration and handouts,to FAASTeam Rep and WINGSPro Eric Mason, M.D.,to FAASTeam Rep Steve Moore, to FAASTeam Rep and DRONEPro KC Sealock, to Obie Young, Florida Aviation Network, a FAASTeam Industry Member, and to John Tenney, FAASTeam Rep.

Equal Access Information:
The FAA Safety Team (FAASTeam) is committed to providing equal access to this meeting/event for all participants. If you need alternative formats or services because of a disability, please communicate your request as soon as possible with the person in the “Contact Information” area of the meeting/event notice. Note that two weeks is usually required to arrange services.
Credit Applicability:
Basic WINGS
1 Credit for Basic Knowledge Topic 3
Advanced WINGS
1 Credit for Advanced Knowledge Topic 2
FAASTeam Project Information:
NPP44, 52, 53/54, 63, et al
National Project:
WINGS